Tonight: Temperatures won’t be nearly as cool tonight compared to Saturday night with many of us dropping into the lower to middle 60s as winds become more easterly. It will be a bit more humid on Monday morning, but no rain is expected as skies remain mostly clear.
Monday: Easterly winds will push another wave of drier into the region on Monday afternoon, so while the morning starts muggy, the afternoon will be pleasantly warm with highs in the upper 80s. A few spots will hit 90°, but it will be a drier heat with a partly cloudy sky.
Looking Ahead: Moving into midweek, our eyes turn toward the tropics as a tropical system is expected to form in the western Gulf of Mexico over the next couple days. This system will be skirting along the western edge of a ridge of high pressure building over the Southeast US which will keep the bulk of the rain and wind from any tropical remnants just to our west. In central Alabama, clouds build in slowly on Tuesday afternoon from the south, overspreading the entire area by Wednesday morning. A shower or two is possible Wednesday evening, but the steadier rain will still be to our south.
By Wednesday night and Thursday, several outer bands from the tropical system will begin to impact us bringing spotty torrential downpours and gusty winds from 20-35 mph with high temperatures only in the 70s, lasting into Friday. Again, the majority of the soaking rain should stay to our west, but several rounds of rain are still expected to move through here from Wednesday night through Friday afternoon. The upcoming weekend isn’t looking completely dry, as the tropical remnants likely become an open-wave and cut-off from the jet stream. This would keep clouds and hit/miss showers in the forecast period through next Sunday as temperatures slowly warm back to the middle 80s.
Tracking the Tropics: An area of low pressure is expected to form in the Gulf of Mexico over the next couple days, given a high chance of developing into a tropical cyclone. Current model guidance takes this system into the Texas or Louisiana area by Wednesday before continuing inland moving north. A few more areas of weak development are possible in the open Atlantic this week, but none of these systems are currently a threat to the US.
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